Showing posts with label manufacturing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label manufacturing. Show all posts

Sunday, April 26, 2020

Stick To Manufacturing & Commerce

WMC Unveils It's Plan To Reopen Wisconsin Business

Wisconsin Manufacturers & Commerce (WMC) - the name says it all. WMC are not infectious disease experts. Why should anyone care what their pandemic-opinion is?

They're more worried about their bottom-line (which is understandable) than the people who help make that possible for them. The WMC is fighting to make it harder for police and fire fighters to get workers compensation. I've had my issues with the pay-structure of police and fire departments. But using a pandemic to suppress others while lobbying for your own pocket-book, that's pretty low.

WMC, stick to manufacturing and commerce. We'll let the scientists, doctors, nurses and experts handle the pandemic. We'll let them decide when things can get back to "normal".

Saturday, July 13, 2013

Where The Jobs Are

From NPR's Planet Money:

To see how the jobs picture has changed since the start of the recession, we created the graph below. Here's how it works: 
  • The size of the circle represents the number of jobs in each industry today. 
  • The circle's position on the vertical axis shows the number of jobs lost or gained since the start of the recession. 
  • The circle's position on the horizontal axis shows average hourly earnings for workers as of this spring. 



A few notes on some key sectors from the graph:

Manufacturing lost 2 million jobs during the recession. The sector has actually added back about half a million jobs during the recovery, and average wages are over $24 an hour. But many of the jobs that disappeared during the recession are probably gone forever. Even before the recession, automation and global competition led U.S. manufacturers to cut jobs, even as they increased output. That trend is likely to continue.

Construction is the other big sector that really got wallopped. This isn't surprising, given that the recession followed a massive real estate bubble that triggered an unsustainable building boom. Still, it's worth noting that even now, with the housing sector coming back to life and adding jobs again, there are nearly a million fewer construction jobs than there were a decade ago.

Health care is the big bright spot in the jobs picture. The sector has added 1.5 million jobs since the start of the recession, and average earnings of over $26 an hour are solid.

Leisure and hospitality mostly means jobs at restaurants and bars. The sector has more jobs now than ever. But average earnings, at about $13 an hour, are low.

Mining and logging includes the oil and gas industries, which have been booming, and where average hourly earnings are nearly $30 an hour. But, as the graph shows, even after strong growth, the sector has fewer than 1 million jobs. It just isn't big enough to make much of dent in the national jobs picture.

Professional and technical services includes a big swath of the tech industry as well as architects and lawyers and other skilled professionals. Not surprisingly, average hourly earnings are high, at about $37 an hour.

Friday, March 29, 2013

Weekend Reading: Scott Walker Edition

Scott Walker Medicaid Decision Could Cost Wisconsin Employers $36 Million
Wisconsin Gets An "F" For Disclosing Its Spending
Scott Walker Budget Could Create Deficit In Next Biennium
Walker Loves Milwaukee? We're Not Feeling It
Wisconsin A Tax Haven For Businesses
Wisconsin Falls To 44th Nationally In Private-Sector Job Creation
Wisconsin ranked 44th out of the 50 states in private-sector job creation in the 12 months from September 2011 to September 2012. The state's position has deteriorated progressively from a revised rank of 41st in the previous 12-month period through June 2012; and from a rank of 37th in the 12 months through March 2012.

But wages in Wisconsin fell faster and harder than most of the nation. When ranked by the percentage change in all private-sector employment, Wisconsin average wages had the 45th-worst ranking out of 50 states.
In the manufacturing economy, where Wisconsin has a disproportionate share of its employment, Wisconsin's wages also dropped more than national wages did, ranking 46th in terms of the change from September 2011 to September 2012.

Monday, November 19, 2012

Truly Unfortunate

Scott Walker was recently in California at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library & Museum giving a speech about his plans for Wisconsin. The Reagan Library, where the biggest Republican whores go to grovel before their sugar daddies and kingmakers. Yes, what better place to start talking about future Wisconsin legislative plans than in California? But, as they say, you've got to go where the money is.

"We think if we want to continue the economic success we've had over the last year and a half, again one of the best ways to do this is to put money back in the hands of entrepreneurs, more money back in the hands of small business owners, more money back in the hands of our consumers...we're going to continue to lower our property taxes, and we're going to put in place an aggressive income tax reduction and reform in the state of Wisconsin because we believe we can continue to be one of the leaders in the country, not just in reform but ultimately in results." said Walker.




Economic success? Since Walker took over, Wisconsin is near the bottom in job growth among the states.

The Walker plan includes: tax cuts (of course), making Wisconsin's voucher program for private schools available to more students (even though research has shown the program doesn't produce any better results), and to eliminate "unnecessary" state regulations (vague, as usual). Basically, tax cuts and deregulation, alongside funneling more public dollars to unaccountable semi-private entities. Sound familiar? We've heard these recommendations from Republicans for decades now. What has it got us? Stagnant wages, volatile retirements, expensive health care, and increasing inequality.

"It's unfortunate he's going to try to continue to go down this war path of ideology instead of actually trying to address the real problems that we've got. It looks like he's putting his donors above his voters," said Chris Larson.

Truly unfortunate.

Friday, January 20, 2012

Economic Indicators

Civilian Labor Force: Milwaukee County



Consumer Price Index: Fuel Oil and Other Fuels; Water, Sewer & Trash
Fuel prices started to spike around 2002-2003.



Consumer Price Index: Housing; Rent of Primary Residence



Consumer Price Index: Medical Care
Medical costs began their exponential rise during the mid-1980s.



Consumer Price Index: Transportation
Transportation costs accelerated with the oil embargo of the 1970s. They've been on that elevated trajectory ever since.



Health Insurance: Not Covered



Home Prices



Light Weight Vehicle Sales



Manufacturing Durable Goods Sector: Output Per Hour
Output per hour has steadily increased.



Manufacturing Durable Goods Sector: Real Hourly Compensation
Compensation increased during the Clinton, late 1990s, boom years, but has stagnated since.



Resident Population: Milwaukee County



Nonfarm Business Sector: Labor Share; Output Per Hour
Output per hour has increased steadily, while the share going to labor has stagnated.



Nonfinancial Corporations Sector: Output Per Hour; Labor Share
Output per hour has increased steadily, while the share going to labor has stagnated.



Nonfinancial Corporations Sector: Profits; Real Hourly Compensation
Profits have been on an overall upward trajectory. Compensation hasn't kept up.



Total Construction Spending: Residential; Commercial



Unemployment Rate: Milwaukee County

Sunday, January 15, 2012

A Manufactured Paradox

The chief executive of the Wisconsin Economic Development Corporation and the secretary of the state Department of Workforce took to the Journal Sentinel to "inform" readers of a workforce paradox in Wisconsin. Or, to at least lay the groundwork for such a talking-point to help move forward more legislation which will supposedly address this manufactured paradox.

It's amazing when similar-minded people whom have advocated less regulation, lower taxes, and the general expansion of service industry jobs over the past three decades suddenly decide manufacturing is a crucial sector and that we must have a renewed focus on industrial policy.

Nevermind that the typical economic policies they've pushed over the past few decades have decimated manufacturing employment. Policies that have weakened unions, driven down wages, and outsourced many of the good-paying manufacturing jobs to low-wage countries. [The combination of low-road economic development and neoliberal policies.]

Now the government must rework the educational system's curriculum, provide more job training, and provide tax credits and relocation incentives to improve the same manufacturing employment that past policies decimated. Regardless of the fact that, "There is little evidence of absolute declines in cognitive or hard skills in the United States or generally poor performance relative to other advanced industrialized countries," as reported by associate professor Michael Handel.

The writers engage is some fairytales to make their point in the article. They claim part of the reason manufacturing employment and jobs have declined is because we haven't talked about them enough as being desirable employment. They also regurgitate the well-worn idea of structural employment - matching people who can do the jobs with where the jobs are needed. [As Rortybomb informs, "A report the IMF put out - The Great Recession and Structural Unemployment - which found find that structural unemployment is 1%-1.75% nationwide, with skills being 0.5%."]

People have chosen service jobs over manufacturing because of the diminished wages offered by the manufacturing jobs. The manufacturing jobs today have lower wages, reduced health care and slim to non-existent retirement packages. Why would a worker chose a challenging, skilled manufacturing job under such circumstances when they could just as easily take a similarly compensating service industry job, which is often, also, much less physically demanding?

If the writers were serious they would be addressing trade agreements, tax-policy toward outsourcing firms, and discussing the need for a comprehensive industrial policy focused on America's need for a strong manufacturing sector and it's link to our infrastructure and self-sustainability. Instead we get more apologetics and scapegoating. Like most businesses these days, the manufacturers want the inflated profits, but none of the social responsibility of good wages and a secure retirement for their workers.

It's not that we don't have workers who can do these jobs, it's just easier [cheaper] for the well-represented [lobbyists] manufacturing companies to appeal for government hand-outs than to pay wages necessary for the work. Thus, a whole cottage industry of cranks has arisen to create this fantasy of structural unemployment and skills mismatch.

Rather, this is simply a story of supply and demand. Until the manufacturers are willing to pay respectable wages to attract workers to these jobs, the manufacturers will continue claiming the educational system must be failing, the government isn't doing enough, and everyone but the manufacturers are responsible for these supposedly unfilled jobs.

For Further Reading:
Has The Great Recession Raised Structural Unemployment?
Latest in (Lack of) Structural Employment

Monday, January 9, 2012

Wisconsin Economic Indicators

Government Employment in Wisconsin (WIGOVT)


Health Insurance Coverage: Coverage Rate in Wisconsin (WIHICCOVPCT)


Home Ownership Rate for Wisconsin (WIHOWN)


Manufacturing Employment in Wisconsin (WIMFG)


Employees on Nonfarm Payrolls in Wisconsin (WINA)


Total Gross Domestic Product by State for Wisconsin (WINGSP)


Rental Vacancy Rate for Wisconsin (WIRVAC)


House Price Index for Wisconsin (WISTHPI)


Unemployment Rate in Wisconsin (WIUR)

Thursday, December 30, 2010

Employment Since 1990

The Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis metropolitan statistical area (MSA), since 1990, has seen a slight increase in nonfarm employees, stable government employment, and a continuation of the slow, steady decline of manufacturing (although, it should be noted, manufacturing is still a competitive advantage for Wisconsin, and our manufacturing sector's decline hasn't been as steep as many other metro areas.) The State of Wisconsin's employment in these same categories nearly mirrored that of the Milwaukee MSA.


Thursday, November 25, 2010

Various Wisconsin Facts

Wisconsin Budget Project:

When the number of full-time equivalent positions was measured relative to each state's 2009 population, Wisconsin was 4.4 percent below the national average and ranked 38th, meaning only 12 states had a leaner public sector.

Wisconsin's spending and taxes have been falling relative to other states for a number of years, showing a significant drop between 2000 and 2008. Wisconsin went from 15th highest in 2000 to 27th in 2008 in total state and local government revenue per capita, and from 13th to 23rd in total spending per capita. [Wisconsin is the 20th largest state by population.] Wisconsin continues to rank very low in federal revenue. On a per capita basis, Wisconsin ranks 46th in federal revenue, 17 percent below average. State and local spending for public employee payrolls was 9 percent below the national average and ranked 33rd.

Analysis of the 2009 employment data found that Wisconsin had the highest percentage of its workforce in manufacturing among all states. Government employment across the U.S. gas grown slightly since 2000, but has declined in Wisconsin. In 2008, Wisconsin was 8.2% below the national average in the number of state and local employees for every 1, 000 state residents, ranking 41st nationally.

Overall, taxes in Wisconsin are regressive...Familes in Wisconsin making less than $20,000 a year pay 9.2 percent of their income in sales and excise, income, property taxes, while families making $388,000 or more pay only 6.7 percent of those taxes.

Contrary to the commonly held belief that Wisconsin is high in taxes and spending, we are close to the middle among the states. Wisconsin's state and local revenue as a percentage of income in 16.7 percent, slightly above the national average of 16.4 percent.

Alliance For Science & Technology Research In America:

Wisconsin contractors earned $201.4 million in federal R&D contract expenditures in fiscal year 2009, with approximately 116 contracts involved.

Saturday, March 6, 2010

Industrial Policy

In the past the Journal Sentinel has referred to the downsizing of America's manufacturing base as "the inevitable consequence of capitalism an democracy."

But now, lawmakers should "act to bolster nation's industrial base."

Better late than never, I guess.

For Further Reading:
NAFTA and the Myth of Free Trade
Wall Street Wants A Free Lunch, Not A Free Market

Saturday, August 15, 2009

Falsehood Fabrication

John Torinus, tax-avoiding-CEO of Serigraph Inc. and writer for the Journal-Sentinel, asks, What will it take to lure back manufacturing?

Torinus states that, "political and business leaders have watched this trend [the loss of manufacturing] with something approaching shock." Really? We enter into trade agreements like NAFTA, which many warned would lead to outsourcing, we abandon any type of industrial policy, we bash unions - which is a large number in manufacturing, and we haven't generally discussed manufacturing since since automakers were making tanks for WWII, and they're "shocked"?

Their shock is manufactured. Otherwise, the politicians and business leaders would have to take responsibility for the exodus of these well-paying jobs. Torinus mentions the economy gravitating toward a service economy [away from actually producing things]. This is a natural progression according to business leaders and their paid think-tank and media mouthpieces. So they all run with this excuse as to be absolved from any blame for manufacturing's decline.

[This type of deflection occurs in the poverty debate also. This isn't the fault of misguided or missing public policy, it's the fault of the individual. Never mind the fact that there is not a job available for everyone whom would like one, it's still their fault. It's not political and business leaders faults that they've allowed policies that ship jobs overseas, it's just a natural economic movement. There is nothing than can do.]

This is a result of the sordid relationship between politicians and businesses. Businesses pay for politicians campaigns; businesses want their production and labor costs cheap; therefore, politicians allow businesses to deter unionization and outsource production. All alongside the lie that it's natural and they're not doing anything to foster it.

Torinus uses the example of a $35,000-a-year manufacturing job to analyze what type of taxes would be returned from an investment in a manufacturing job. But where does this $35,000 number come from? According to BLS, private non-unionized manufacturing workers earn over $18 and hour, which is roughly $38,000 per year. Unionized manufacturing workers earn $70, or so, more per week, approximately $41,000 per year. If we're going to use earnings numbers to make an example, let's use the correct numbers.

In his cursory remarks regarding development incentives, Torinus says, "...there is little gain when one state lures a plant from another. It's zero-sum game." Which it is, but he doesn't take this point any further, other than saying it's the union opinion, and therefore, in his mind I guess, not worthy of discussing.

Torinus finishes up with a classic talking-point of his own, and of business in general. He thinks maybe we should eliminate the 7.9 percent income tax on manufacturers. (It's always about not paying any taxes.) His logic: the state corporate income tax is no longer a huge revenue producer for the state, so we might as well just get rid of it. He doesn't address how this has changed over the years, how it has decreased favorably for corporations, increasingly burdening homeowners. He also fails to mention the tax breaks already provided to manufacturing.

He spouts a common falsity, that taxes are a primary factor affecting locational decisions. Business basics - inputs, suppliers, customers, labor, transportation - are much more important for a business in their site location decision.

Is there a sector (like manufacturing) or a topic (like health care) that Torinus won't exploit in an attempt to have businesses pay even less in taxes?

For Further Reading:
Corporate Tax Breaks
Failure of Economic Development Incentives
Grading Places
Industrial Incentives
Rethinking Growth Strategies
Tax and Spending Incentives and Enterprise Zones
The Great American Jobs Scam

Saturday, May 2, 2009

Manufacturing

Some economists have purported the ideas that domestic spending has shifted away from manufactured goods, growing international trade is at most a minuscule reason for the declining manufacturing employment, and the decline in employment is a part of a natural, comparatively advantaged, order involving a rise in demand for skilled workers.

The last point was directly addressed in a previous post, The Skills Crisis and Job Training, "There is little evidence of absolute declines in cognitive or hard skills in the United States or generally poor performance relative to other advanced industrialized countries," as reported by associate professor Michael Handel.

Another relevant question is whether or not this supposed rise in demand for skilled workers was simply the by-product of having more college graduates available for the workforce. It's the chicken or the egg question. Also, even though a country moves toward higher skills and education among more and more of its citizens, does that necessarily mean that the productive use of the workforce also follows in-line by only providing services and offering more "professional" employment opportunities?

No matter how advanced a country might be, every citizen cannot be a lawyer, doctor, or CEO. As I reported in The Skills Crisis and Job Training, Marc Levine finds, "Over the next decade the Bureau of Labor Statistics projects the greatest job growth in occupations requiring a high school education and short-term, on-the-job training."

Manufacturing productivity has been consistently increasing throughout the years, but demand supposedly hasn't kept up. Josh Bivens dissects and dismantles this (and the other claims) idea of decreased demand in his report, Shifting Blame For Manufacturing Job Loss. He finds:

Trade imbalances in manufacturing accounted for 59 percent of the decline in employment.

Demand for manufactured goods as a share of total demand has grown over the past 10 years.

The rising trade deficit in manufactured goods accounts for 58 percent of the decline in manufacturing employment between 1998 and 2003.

The use of contract, part-time, and temporary workers by manufacturing companies also hurts wages and overall employment numbers. A development obviously connected to increased productivity and cost-cutting initiatives at firms (induced by global competition of cheaper labor).

Some also explain the (mythical) decline in domestic spending for manufactured goods with the supposition that goods have become cheaper. But this is a glaringly, sweeping generalization. Which goods? Cheaper for whom? Sure VCRs are relatively inexpensive, but cars are the second largest purchase for most families, and the price of most cars is near the yearly median income of most workers. And, let's not forget that wages have stagnated for the majority of workers since the 1970s.

Dean Baker writes, "At the end of the 1960s, nearly twenty-nine percent of workers in the U.S. were employed in manufacturing...part of the decline of manufacturing is attributable to the decisions of firms to move operations overseas...the U.S. has been running an annual trade deficit in excess of $150 billion for the last several years. If this trade deficit were eliminated it would create over two million additional manufacturing jobs, and increase of almost fifteen percent."

The trade deficit has been accelerated by the high value of the dollar versus other currencies.

"The American dollar had been high through much of the Bretton Woods period, but in 1979 it took off and rose some 60 to 70 percent...Manufacturing thus did not decline as a consequence of natural causes, but was hastened to the edge of the cliff and pushed off by the high dollar," concludes Jeff Madrick. As a share of overall employment in the Midwest, manufacturing has fallen from 29 percent in 1969 to 12 percent in 2007. Declines were pronounced during the Clinton administration because of Robert Rubin's high dollar policy.

Howard Wial and Alec Friedoff, in a report for the Metropolitan Policy Program at the Brookings Institution, found that, "Despite these job loses, manufacturing remains a major driver of the nation's economy and the economy of the Great Lakes region."

Manufacturing represents 20 percent of GDP in Europe, 14 percent in the U.S., 33 percent in China and 18 percent worldwide. David Huether of the National Association of Manufacturers, in a New York Times article by Nelson Schwartz, explains, "Manufacturing makes up two-thirds of U.S. exports and contributed more to GDP growth over the last 20 years than any other sector of the U.S. economy. Our share of global manufacturing output has remained steady at 20 to 23 percent over the past decade."

In a recent posting, Failure Bonuses, I noted that the Economic Policy Institute had found:

Of the 20 richest countries tracked by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the United States ranks 17th in hourly pay for production workers in manufacturing.

Of the 16 nations with higher compensation for production workers in manufacturing, the United States ranks behind only Ireland (a nation with a manufacturing workforce less than 2% as large as that of the United States) in terms of “value-added per employee” (a rough measure of productivity).

The combination of relatively low compensation and high productivity means that U.S. manufacturing leads the world in terms of competitiveness of per unit costs of manufacturing output.

If the wages claimed by managerial and non-supervisory labor in the United States were the same as the median of comparable countries, U.S. manufacturing would have a 6.4% cost advantage over major trading partners.


Robert Scott elucidates, "Manufacturing supported 14 million jobs in 2007, about 10.1 percent of total employment...generating $1.6 trillion in GDP in 2006 (12.2 percent of total U.S. GDP)...gross output of $4.5 trillion in 2005, by far the most important sector of the U.S. economy in terms of total output." In Wisconsin, manufacturing generated 20.8 percent of GDP, $47 billion.

Manufacturing is a hugely important industry. It deserves our attention and support. To simply allow it to steadily decline is a failure of national, industrial, economic, and security policy. Manufacturing is an important element of our economy and a source of many well-paying jobs. Manufacturing also allows us, as a nation, to innovate and produce products sought after the world over. Doing nothing and allowing America to become a nation of service-providers leaves our choices to the whims of foreign producers.

After all that has happened since the economic collapse of 2008 (the fault of our "professional" financial service providers - Wall Street), I think it's time we rediscovered production of tangible objects. I'd much rather be helping assembly line workers get back on their feet and securing America's future building and providing things - such as wind turbines and electric cars, rather than seeing my money gambled on the black hole that is Wall Street.

For Further Reading:

Sunday, February 15, 2009

Development Needs Research

In Sunday's Journal-Sentinel, John Torinus has a bullet-pointed, long-winded sermon on the beauty and stimulative-nature of entrepreneurship (whatever that means). Even his title has it backwards.

There is a tone when he states, "...a heavy dependence on its historic manufacturing sector." As if we should divest ourselves of our large market share, our competitive advantage, and a continued focus of the success of one of our most lucrative sectors. Manufacturing is generally a higher paying, high value-added industry. This should be a prime focus of our research and development efforts. The hits to employment in this industry over the last few decades have more to do with trade politics (and slave labor) than with efficiency or productivity.

He also feels we should capitalize on our research and development capabilities and stengthen them. OK. Sounds good. Although, typically this type of activity is either heavily subsized by the government, or directly funded by the government through the university system and organizations such as the National Institutes of Health. Has Torinus suddenly become a tax-and-spender? Or is he just citing another example of where government and bureaucrats can be highly effective and actually improve society?

Much of his opinions regarding UWM -- it's construction projects, and it's innovative leadership, and the giant strides it has made in recent years -- are spot on. And, hopefully UWM will choose a downtown rather than a suburban location. As a former student and employee at UWM, I'm proud of their progress and their scholarship.

[Mr. Torinus mentions, "The R&D has to be turned into patents, licenses, and start-up companies." Here are numerous articles by Dean Baker that disprove the economic efficiency of patents: A, B, C, D, E, and F. The money is made being the first to create the idea, not holding that creative capacity from others to build upon it. That causes long-term inefficiency.]

But after the public sector nurtures these industries and ideas, Torinus feels we should, "...transferring the basic technology to commercial applications in the real world of business." If public entities are producing technologies and products the market wants, aren't they applying their know-how in the real world of business? And, competing quite effectively it seems. We should turn over the innovative capacity to the private sector so they can make highly leveraged bets, create gains for a select few, watch them mismanage and corrupt the endeavor, and see the whole thing collapse...to then have to be cleaned up by taxpayers (the public sector)?

It seems taxpayers' money is actually better managed and spent by the government than the private sector. The Republican propaganda campaign over the last 35 years to dispute this fact and muddle the discussion about such seems impervious to reason and clear-thinking. We'd all be better if we just ignored them.

Other than that, I'm all for Torinus' bullet-pointed research spending ideas. But, lets keep them state- or local(ly)-run centers, having well-paid jobs with health care and funded retirement plans.

"Sharing is caring," as Mr. Rogers said. If a select few would share just a minuscule amount (pay their fair share of taxes), they could initiate massive change and end the impoverished conditions of the majority on this planet. The only thing standing in the way of this is political cover, masking greed and entrenched interests.

Obviously all the ideas Mr. Torinus feels should be funded would have to be public programs. If this was "easy money" wouldn't private corporations already be making the investment? Of course, they only care about short-term gains. How we fund our societal institutions and the priorities of such, how we reach for sustainability and prosperity, these are long-term policy issues. Concerns rightfully addressed and managed by the public sector.

But WMCers and the right-wing bow to a different savior. They must keep their shareholders happy. You don't want to piss off Wall Street. Wall Street it now seems has become our defacto government. How about the change we believe in is taking our government back.

With some populist spin struggling to conceal the underlying conservative positions and giveaways to the private sector, this piece seems nothing more than typical WMC rhetoric from Torinus.